谢谢你刀郎歌曲:Russia 2012: Medvedev, Putin or the third man...

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Russia 2012: Medvedev, Putin or the third man?



the third man.jpg (23.55 KB)
2011-4-16 14:39


As Russian President Dmitry Medvedev orders the withdrawal of government official from state-owned enterprises, a move considered as an effort of weakening Vladimir Putin’s clout, a senior figure in Russia's ruling party said on Thursday it wants Prime Minister Putin to return to the Kremlin next year, countering President Dmitry Medvedev who is showing stronger signs he wants a second term.


The remarks reflected increasing tension between backers of the two leaders in anticipation of a decision by Putin on whether he will seek to reclaim the presidency or endorse Medvedev for an election next March.


"As for the party's position on the 2012 elections, United Russia will orient itself on its leader Vladimir Putin," said Yuri Shuvalov, deputy secretary of the presidium of the United Russia party's General Council, in a statement on its website.


Putin, president from 2000-08, was required by the constitution to step aside after two consecutive terms in the Kremlin, and chose Medvedev as his successor. He is permitted to run again in next year's election.


He and Medvedev say they now rule as a "tandem" and they will decide together which of them will run for president. Most political analysts believe the decision is up to Putin.


Uncertainty over whether Putin will aim to return to the Kremlin or back Medvedev has divided factions of the political elite, who have begun to weigh in publicly on the issue.


Medvedev has said he will decide soon on whether to run. On Wednesday Putin said it was too early to announce a decision.


During his three years in power, Medvedev has accomplished few of his objectives, mostly focused on improving rule of law in Russia and the modernisation of the country.


But the president has cut an increasingly confident figure recently, ordering government ministers, including important Putin allies, to give up seats on the boards of state-run companies, like Rosneft and VTB


Analysts say it is growing clearer that he wants to stay on.


United Russia backed Medvedev for president in 2008 after Putin annointed him as his chosen successor, but Putin became chairman of the party and uses it as both a source and an instrument of power. Medvedev has occasionally criticised it.


Political analyst Boris Makarenko said the loyal party would back whichever candidate it is told to back in the election, but expressing a preference now appeared to be a bid by the party to clip Medvedev's wings and increase the chances Putin would run.


"I don't think Shuvalov was speaking under orders from Putin," said United Russia lawmaker Konstantin Zatulin, who has publicly expressed his preference for Putin over Medvedev.


"More likely certain circles in United Russia came to the conclusion that it was no good to postpone an announcement of their opinion."


Putin described the increasing public attention on the election on Wednesday as a "fuss" and said it was disrupting the work of the government and the presidential administration.


However,
Russia's leaders are increasingly mistrusted and there is a growing desire for an alternative to Prime Minister Vladimir Putin or President Dmitry Medvedev in 2012 polls, a study said at the end of March.


The report by the pro-government think-tank Centre for Strategic Research said an unfair 2012 presidential election win by either Medvedev or Putin may lead to a crisis similar to one that brought down the USSR.


"People have not only stopped fearing a 'third person' but are beginning to wish for his emergence," said the report, based on the group's own polling and focus group work.


"The most important change in the political consciousness of Russians over the last eight months consists not just of a fall of trust in the tandem and its participants but also a growth in demand for a 'third' person."


The past year has seen an onset of a "political crisis" in Russia as ratings of Medvedev, Putin, and the ruling party United Russia fell by 12, 21, and 18 percent, respectively, it said.


Observers in Russia have closely watched for an indication of whether Medvedev will seek re-election or if Putin is likely to run again. The leaders have said that they will decide between themselves which one of them will run.


But based on the think-tank's polling, it said that "Medvedev seems an unelectable figure" while Putin is gaining "anti-electorate" among not just the opposition but wider society that accuses him of acting in self-interest.


If the trend of falling trust in authority keeps strong over the next year, Russia will arrive at a political crisis that could "in its intensity surpass the end of the 1990s and closely approach the end of the 1980s," it added.


"The report is directed to the country's top officials, who don't evaluate the situation in the country or their position in it very realistically," one of the report's authors, Sergei Belanovsky, told the Echo of Moscow radio.


"Any product, including a political one, has a set life-cycle," he said.


So far there has been little sign of a third force emerging in Russian politics, although the "tandem" of Putin and Medvedev shows signs of wear and the two leaders even have some public disagreements.
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