钩针方形单元花图解:盖茨在哈佛演讲三）

      如果我们能够找到一种能够满足贫苦人民需求的方法，它既可以为商人带来利润，又能够为政治家拉来选票，那么我们可能就找到了一条可持续发展之路，从而消除世界上的不平等现象。这项任务无穷无尽，没有终点；但是有意认识这个挑战，努力迎接这个挑战，勇敢应对这个挑战，都将会改变这个世界。

I am optimistic that we can do this, but I talk to skeptics who claim there is no hope. They say: "Inequity has been with us since the beginning, and will be with us till the end – because people just … don’t … care." I completely disagree.

我一直乐观地认为，我们能这样做。但是，我也遇到过一些声称陷入绝望的怀疑主义者。他们说：“不平等现象是我们生而有之、老也将存的问题——因为人们对这个问题漠不关心。”对此，我不以为然。

I believe we have more caring than we know what to do with.

我认为，不是我们漠不关心，而是我们束手无策。

All of us here in this Yard, at one time or another, have seen human tragedies that broke our hearts, and yet we did nothing – not because we didn’t care, but because we didn’t know what to do. If we had known how to help, we would have acted.

此刻身处校园的我们，生命中总有这样或那样的时刻，目睹人类的悲剧，痛彻心扉，但是我们什么也没做——并非我们无动于衷，而是因为我们不知道做什么和怎么做。如果我们知道要如何应对，我们将立即行动。

The barrier to change is not too little caring; it is too much complexity.

需要我们去消除的屏障，并非人类的冷漠无情，而是世界的纷繁复杂。

To turn caring into action, we need to see a problem, see a solution, and see the impact. But complexity blocks all three steps.

要把关心转为行动，我们需要发现问题，找到方法，评估后果。但是纷繁复杂的世界阻挡了我们的脚步，以上的三个步骤不能得以实施。

Even with the advent of the Internet and 24-hour news, it is still a complex enterprise to get people to truly see the problems. When an airplane crashes, officials immediately call a press conference. They promise to investigate, determine the cause, and prevent similar crashes in the future.

即使有了互联网的出现和全天候的新闻播报，要让人们发现问题的真实面貌，仍然是相当艰巨。如果有一架飞机坠毁，政府官员就会立刻召开新闻发布会，他们承诺进行调查，找到原因，防止将来再次发生类似的事故。

But if the officials were brutally honest, they would say: "Of all the people in the world who died today from preventable causes, one half of one percent of them were on this plane. We’re determined to do everything possible to solve the problem that took the lives of the one half of one percent."

但是如果那些官员敢于说真话，他们就会说：“在今天，全世界死于可避免事故中的所有人，只有0.5%的人在这次飞机事故中罹难。我们决心尽一切努力，彻底调查这0.5%的死亡原因。”

The bigger problem is not the plane crash, but the millions of preventable deaths.

显然，更重要的问题不是这次空难，而是其他几百万可避免的死亡事件。

We don’t read much about these deaths. The media covers what’s new – and millions of people dying is nothing new. So it stays in the background, where it’s easier to ignore. But even when we do see it or read about it, it’s difficult to keep our eyes on the problem. It’s hard to look at suffering if the situation is so complex that we don’t know how to help. And so we look away.

对这些死亡事件，我们知之甚少。媒体总是报告新闻，但是几百万人将要死去并非新闻。新闻是在事件的幕后，这很容易被忽视。即使我们确实目睹了事件的真相或者看到了相关报道，我们也很难持续去关注这些事件。问题是如此之复杂，我们也束手无策，要直面这样的灾难就显得相当困难，所以我们就对此视而不见，置若罔闻。

If we can really see a problem, which is the first step, we come to the second step: cutting through the complexity to find a solution.

就算我们真正能发现问题，也不过是迈出了第一步，接着还有第二步：那就是，从这个复杂的世界中走出一条捷径，找到解决问题的办法。

Finding solutions is essential if we want to make the most of our caring. If we have clear and proven answers anytime an organization or individual asks "How can I help?," then we can get action – and we can make sure that none of the caring in the world is wasted. But complexity makes it hard to mark a path of action for everyone who cares — and that makes it hard for their caring to matter.

如果我们要让关心落到实处，我们就必须找到解决问题的方法。一旦我们有一个明确可行的方案，那么无论何时，当任何组织和个人来询问“我该怎么提供帮助”的时候，我们就能采取行动。这样，我们就充分发挥全世界人类对他人的关爱之情。但是，纷繁的世界使得我们很难找出一条适合每一位善者的行动方针，这样一来，人类对他人的关爱往往很难奏效。

Cutting through complexity to find a solution runs through four predictable stages: determine a goal, find the highest-leverage approach, discover the ideal technology for that approach, and in the meantime, make the smartest application of the technology that you already have — whether it’s something sophisticated, like a drug, or something simpler, like a bednet.

要从这个复杂的世界中走出一条捷径，找到解决问题的办法，可以分为以下四个步骤：确定目标，找到最高效的方法，发现适用于这个方法的最理想的技术，同时最聪明地利用现有的技术——不管这项技术是复杂如药物，还是简单如蚊帐。

The AIDS epidemic offers an example. The broad goal, of course, is to end the disease. The highest-leverage approach is prevention. The ideal technology would be a vaccine that gives lifetime immunity with a single dose. So governments, drug companies, and foundations fund vaccine research. But their work is likely to take more than a decade, so in the meantime, we have to work with what we have in hand – and the best prevention approach we have now is getting people to avoid risky behavior.

艾滋病就是一个例子。其总目标，毫无疑问是消灭这种疾病。最高效的方法是预防。最理想的技术是发明一种疫苗，只要注射一次，就可终生免疫。所以，政府、制药公司和基金会应该资助疫苗研究。但是，这样的研究工作很可能需要十几年，因此，与此同时，我们必须利用现有的技术——目前最有效的预防方法，就是设法让人们避免那些危险的行为。